Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Relax! According to Lichtman, Obama Wins!

Allan Lichtman, a professor at the American University, recently published his book "The Keys to the White House" (Amazon book).  Lichtman also recently appeared on Lawrence O'Donnell's "The Last Word" on MSNBC where O'Donnell was so taken by Lichtman's logic that he admitted "Okay, that's it, we're done!".


Here's the interview:

Lichtman's criteria cover thirteen points and the general formula has correctly called every presidential election since Reagan's 1984 re-election. Here are the thirteen points:


So Obama clearly wins 9 out of the 13, leaving one tie and conceding 3 points to the challenger.

Does this mean we don't need the undoubtedly fractious campaigning of the next 14 months? Gee, wouldn't that be nice.